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November 8, 2001 |
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From the Ore-Rail egroup:
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Iron Ore Production - Michigan & Minnesota vs. the World | |||||||||
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Japan, Korea, and most of the rest of the world get their imported iron ore primarily from Brazil and Australia. Both countries have mind boggling massive deposits of direct shipping ore that need only to be dug up, screened into size fractions and shipped. These deposits are so large that they make the Mesaba deposits look like a drop in the bucket. Each country ships between 100 and 200 million tons of ore per year and each has several individual mines that ship more ore than Minnesota and Michigan combined. The three largest producing companies are CVRD in Brazil and Rio Tinto and BHP in Australia. CVRD ship about 150 million tons per year each and BHP ships about 60 million tons per year. Cliffs is a very distant fourth place at about 36 million tons per year (last year). No, there is no chance that Minnesota or Michigan pellets would be competitive on the world market. It would cost more to just ship them to the ocean than overseas ore is selling for. Minnesota and Michigan iron ore is limited to a market area defined by Lake Huron, Pittsburgh, Birmingham, AL, and Provo Utah. No domestic ore is shipped beyond these and domestic ore supplies the above areas only in part. If it weren't for the inertia of the large but shrinking domestic integrated steel industry along the Great Lakes, and the fact that America has a love affair with the automobile, Minnesota and Michigan would no longer have an iron mining industry. As it is, the industry is on shaky ground. Since Rio Tinto bought out Iron Ore Company of Canada, who's main processing facilities are on the Gulf of St. Lawrence, they have made cost improvements that make those pellets cost competitive as far inland on the Great Lakes as Detroit, even with tolls on the St. Lawrence Seaway. The following site has a list of the major iron ore producing countries: http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/iron_ore/340301.pdf The top 10 iron ore producers for 2000 in declining order (million tons per year) China 215 Brazil 190 Australia 158 Russia 80 India 68 USA 61 Ukraine 50 Canada 34 South Africa 30 Sweden 19 Total world production is around 1 billion tons per year and about 300 to 400 million tons per year takes a trip on the ocean to its consumer. Just for reference, during the highest years in the early 50's, domestic iron ore production approached 120 million tons per year. In the United States, in 1975 we made about 100 million tons of steel, mostly from iron ore from some source. Imports were an additional 10 million tons per year. In 1999, in the United States, we made about 110 million tons of steel, of which 58 million tons came from iron ore from some source and the rest came from melting scrap. Minnesota and Michigan ore accounted for about 42 million tons of this steel. This year, iron ore production in Minnesota and Michigan will be around 40 to 45 million tons and will never again reach the 62 million tons seen in 2000. For reference, domestic iron ore production in 1975 was just over 70 million tons, accounting for about 50 million tons of steel. Australia, like the US, is a high labor cost country. They are also a high energy cost country. Energy and labor are the two highest costs in making steel, even more than ore. It makes economic sense for an Australian producer to ship ore to Korea and get back slabs to roll instead of making their own steel. Unfortunately it also makes sense for an American steel producer to import slabs made overseas, mainly from Asia, Russia, and South America, and roll them here. Slab imports displaced about 15 million tons of iron ore in the USA last year, and this number is growing. When Ispat bought out Inland Steel, their plan was to get rid of their blast furnaces and mines and roll slabs imported from Ispat operations in Mexico. Somebody screwed up and didn't realize that the Steelworker's contract with Inland prevented them from importing slabs unless a certain threshold of raw steel production was maintained. They are still in the integrated steel business. They are loosing money big time like most of the rest of the integrated companies. In short, no one overseas could possibly afford to buy American produced iron ore and ship it back as steel slabs. Bruce Kettunen
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